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AJ Barner

AJ Barner Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
AJ Barner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-107/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.
  • The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Rams defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (36.0 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 3rd-least pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 57.6% pass rate.
  • At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • This year, the daunting Rams defense has given up the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a mere 6.7 yards.
  • The Rams linebackers grade out as the 6th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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