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AJ Barner

AJ Barner Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
AJ Barner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-114/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: 5th-most in football.
  • This year, the porous Arizona Cardinals defense has been torched for a staggering 66.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 4th-most in the league.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Arizona's group of safeties has been terrible this year, grading out as the 10th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored this week, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.8% pass rate.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 51.4 plays per game.
  • This year, the strong Arizona Cardinals defense has allowed a mere 72.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 10th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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