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AJ Barner

AJ Barner Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
AJ Barner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The model projects the Seahawks to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.3% pass rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see just 124.2 total plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • The Seahawks have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a measly 56.3 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the San Francisco 49ers, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.9 per game) last year.

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