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Aidan O'Connell

Aidan O'Connell TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Aidan O'Connell TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-300/+210).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -260 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +210.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders are a 4-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (58.3% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Raiders.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Raiders to run the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, totaling the fewest attempts in football (just 25.8 per game) this year.

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