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Aidan O'Connell

Aidan O'Connell TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Aidan O'Connell TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 60.8% of their downs: the 6th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 4th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.7% red zone pass rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 138.8 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Saints defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-lowest level in the league against the Saints defense this year (69.0% Adjusted Completion%).
  • This year, the imposing Saints defense has allowed a mere 1.00 passing TDs per game to opposing QBs: the 2nd-lowest rate in football.

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