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Aidan O'Connell

Aidan O'Connell TD Passes
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Aidan O'Connell TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-180).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers defense has conceded the 7th-most passing touchdowns in the NFL: 1.55 per game since the start of last season.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers project as the worst unit in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Raiders to run the 9th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Raiders have called the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-lowest clip in the league vs. the Chargers defense since the start of last season (68.0%).

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