Aidan O'Connell TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Aidan O'Connell

NFL · Player Props

Aidan O'Connell

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

TD Passes

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Aidan O'Connell TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-180).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has conceded the 7th-most passing touchdowns in the NFL: 1.55 per game since the start of last season.
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers project as the worst unit in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Raiders to run the 9th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Raiders have called the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-lowest clip in the league vs. the Chargers defense since the start of last season (68.0%).

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