Aidan O'Connell Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Aidan O'Connell

NFL · Player Props

Aidan O'Connell

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 3:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Aidan O'Connell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 3rd-most run-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 44.1% run rate.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in football last year at opening holes for runners.

Favors Under

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their typical approach.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Raiders are forecasted by the model to run only 63.1 total plays in this game: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (a measly 53.9 per game on average).
The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
The Vikings defense owns the 5th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing just 3.85 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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