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Aidan O'Connell

Aidan O'Connell Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

Aidan O'Connell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 2nd-most run-centric offense in football (44.3% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Las Vegas Raiders.

When it comes to executing run-blocking assignments (and the influence it has on all run game statistics), the offensive line of the Raiders ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL last year.

This year, the formidable Chiefs run defense has surrendered a paltry 4.52 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's rushing attack: the 25th-smallest rate in the league.

The Kansas City Chiefs safeties rank as the 31st-worst safety corps in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Raiders are a giant 9.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Raiders are forecasted by the predictive model to run just 63.4 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.

The Raiders have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 53.7 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

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