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Aidan O'Connell

Aidan O'Connell Completions
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Aidan O'Connell Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders are a 4-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Los Angeles Rams cornerbacks grade out as the worst CB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Raiders to run the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, totaling the fewest attempts in football (just 25.8 per game) this year.

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