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Aidan O'Connell

Aidan O'Connell Completions
Player Prop Week 17

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders

Aidan O'Connell Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-105/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 60.8% of their downs: the 6th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 138.8 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Saints defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New Orleans's CB corps has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-lowest level in the league against the Saints defense this year (69.0% Adjusted Completion%).

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