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Adonai Mitchell

Adonai Mitchell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Adonai Mitchell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets may throw the ball less in this week's game (and call more carries) because they be forced to start backup QB Brady Cook.
  • This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Jets, who are big -13-point underdogs.
  • The Bills safeties project as the 4th-worst group of safeties in the league this year in regard to rushing the passer.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the New York Jets offensive blueprint to skew 9.7% more towards the run game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand now calling the plays.
  • Right now, the least pass-heavy team in the league (54.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Jets.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the projections to run only 62.0 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Bills defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the New York Jets grades out as the 8th-worst in football this year.

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