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Adonai Mitchell

Adonai Mitchell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Adonai Mitchell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are enormous -13-point underdogs.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may decline.
  • The Patriots pass defense has yielded the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.1%) versus wide receivers this year (67.1%).
  • This year, the weak New England Patriots defense has allowed the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wide receivers: a massive 8.55 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (54.4% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New York Jets.
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call only 62.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Patriots linebackers profile as the 2nd-best LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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