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Adonai Mitchell

Adonai Mitchell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Adonai Mitchell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Brady Cook.
  • This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Jets, who are enormous -13.5-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 135.6 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the NFL (40.2 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the least pass-heavy team in the league (54.8% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Jets.
  • The weatherman calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • The Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61.1%) to WRs this year (61.1%).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. wide receivers this year, giving up 7.04 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.
  • The Jaguars linebackers rank as the best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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