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Adonai Mitchell

Adonai Mitchell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Adonai Mitchell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+116/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are enormous -12.5-point underdogs.
  • This year, the deficient Patriots defense has surrendered the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a whopping 9.02 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the New York Jets to be the 7th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the projections to run only 62.7 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The Jets O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, New England's LB corps has been terrific this year, grading out as the 7th-best in the NFL.

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