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Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Adam Trautman Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1250/-2100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1300 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +1250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 8th-most pass-focused team in the league near the goal line (58.4% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Broncos.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 134.8 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 10th-most plays in the league have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (a colossal 58.5 per game on average).
  • The New York Giants defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (39.7 per game) this year.
  • The Denver offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Broncos are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 10th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The New York Giants pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.8%) vs. tight ends this year (67.8%).
  • The Giants defense has surrendered the 7th-fewest receiving touchdowns in the league to TEs: 0.33 per game this year.
  • The New York Giants safeties rank as the 29th-worst safety corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

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