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Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Adam Trautman Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+720/-1150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -980 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Broncos as the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 7th-most pass-focused team in football near the goal line (58.5% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos.
  • The Denver Broncos offense has played at the 8th-quickest tempo in football (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 27.54 seconds per play.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may decline.
  • The Denver Broncos O-line ranks as the best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Since the start of last season, the daunting Los Angeles Chargers defense has conceded a puny 0.16 TDs through the air per game to opposing TEs: the 2nd-smallest rate in football.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers safeties grade out as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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