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Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Adam Trautman Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+900/-1200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1650 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Broncos to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 10th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • At the moment, the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the league in the red zone (60.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Broncos.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are anticipated by the projection model to call 68.1 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Broncos have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 59.4 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Broncos being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.
  • With a feeble 1.4% Red Zone Target Rate (18th percentile) this year, Adam Trautman stands among the TEs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league.
  • This year, the fierce Jacksonville Jaguars defense has given up a mere 71.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 6th-smallest rate in the league.
  • The Jaguars linebackers profile as the best LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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