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Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Adam Trautman Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+900/-1200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1150 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (60.0% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Denver Broncos.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Broncos offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • Adam Trautman's 90.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a remarkable improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 63.8% mark.
  • This year, the shaky Commanders pass defense has yielded a whopping 80.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 2nd-highest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6-point advantage, the Broncos are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.
  • With a feeble 2.0% Red Zone Target Share (24th percentile) this year, Adam Trautman places among the tight ends with the most usage near the end zone in football.

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