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Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Adam Trautman Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1150/-1600).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1350 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1600.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Broncos, who are -4-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Broncos to pass on 60.6% of their downs: the 5th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.0% red zone pass rate.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
  • The Chiefs defense has conceded the 4th-fewest receiving touchdowns in the league to tight ends: 0.22 per game this year.

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