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Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Adam Trautman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-250/+185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -235 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the league (63.3% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Denver Broncos.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to run the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
  • The Broncos O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • Adam Trautman's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 63.8% to 87.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are an enormous 8-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game against the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
  • The Raiders pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68%) to tight ends this year (68.0%).

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