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Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns

Adam Trautman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have 138.3 plays on offense run: the highest number on the slate this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.

The Denver Broncos O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Cleveland's safety corps has been terrible this year, profiling as the worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Broncos are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Broncos to pass on 54.4% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.

Adam Trautman's 7.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 17.9.

With a feeble 1.0 adjusted receptions per game (8th percentile) this year, Adam Trautman ranks among the weakest pass-catching tight ends in football.

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