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Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Adam Trautman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+182/-245).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to run the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically correlate with better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower run volume.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.9 per game) this year.
  • When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Denver Broncos profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.
  • Adam Trautman's 70.5% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies an impressive progression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 65.1% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to pass on 55.2% of their plays: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Adam Trautman's 7.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 17.9.
  • With a feeble 1.1 adjusted catches per game (14th percentile) this year, Adam Trautman stands as one of the weakest TE receiving threats in the NFL.
  • The Falcons pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (73%) vs. TEs this year (73.0%).
  • The Falcons linebackers profile as the 9th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

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