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Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 135.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 10th-most plays in the league have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (a colossal 58.5 per game on average).
  • The New York Giants defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (39.7 per game) this year.
  • The Denver offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Adam Trautman's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 63.8% to 86.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 8.5-point advantage, the Broncos are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Adam Trautman's receiving efficiency has tailed off this year, averaging a mere 7.48 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.52 mark last year.
  • The New York Giants pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.8%) vs. tight ends this year (67.8%).
  • The Giants pass defense has shown good efficiency versus TEs this year, conceding 6.13 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the league.

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