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Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Broncos to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Broncos this year (a massive 59.6 per game on average).
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Broncos profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
  • Adam Trautman's 86.0% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a significant progression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 63.8% figure.
  • Adam Trautman ranks as one of the top tight ends in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a stellar 4.90 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 88th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Broncos to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 28.4 per game) this year.
  • Adam Trautman's 7.6 adjusted yards per target this season represents a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last season's 9.5 mark.
  • The Jets defense has surrendered the 6th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 37.0) to tight ends this year.

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