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Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-132/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to call the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Broncos have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.5 plays per game.
  • The Denver offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • Adam Trautman's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 63.8% to 84.1%.
  • The Chiefs pass defense has surrendered the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (85.4%) vs. tight ends this year (85.4%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are a massive 13.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The projections expect the Broncos to be the 11th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Chiefs, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
  • Adam Trautman's 7.7 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a significant regression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 9.5 rate.
  • Adam Trautman rates as one of the worst TEs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 2nd percentile.

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