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Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+110/-145).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -145.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Our trusted projections expect the Broncos as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Broncos are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 66.2 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week.The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (a monstrous 59.5 per game on average).Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume.Opposing QBs have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Adam Trautman's 8.4 adjusted yards per target this year indicates a material reduction in his pass-catching ability over last year's 9.5 rate.Adam Trautman has been one of the weakest tight ends in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 2nd percentile.This year, the tough Packers defense has conceded a puny 45.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 7th-fewest in the NFL.This year, the stout Green Bay Packers defense has surrendered the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing TEs: a puny 6.1 yards.When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Green Bay's group of safeties has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.
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