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Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Broncos, who are -4-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Broncos to pass on 60.6% of their downs: the 5th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Adam Trautman's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 63.8% to 90.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
  • Adam Trautman has been one of the bottom pass-game tight ends this year, averaging a lowly 12.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 24th percentile among TEs.
  • Adam Trautman's pass-catching effectiveness has diminished this year, accumulating a mere 7.64 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.52 mark last year.
  • Adam Trautman ranks as one of the bottom TEs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 2nd percentile.

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