Adam Trautman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Adam Trautman

NFL · Player Props

Adam Trautman

TE · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos · Week 1, 2024

Updated Sep 8, 2024 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line suggests a passing game script for the Broncos, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
With a sizeable 70.1% snap rate (87th percentile) last year, Adam Trautman stands as one of the running backs with the highest volume in football.
Adam Trautman ranks in the 75th percentile among tight ends last year with an astounding 8.3% of his offense's air yards accumulated.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Broncos ranks as the 2nd-best in football last year.
The Seahawks pass defense has shown bad efficiency vs. TEs last year, yielding 8.10 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-most in the league.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to pass on 54.3% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have just 125.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
The 4th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Denver Broncos last year (just 54.8 per game on average).
With a feeble 65.1% Adjusted Completion% (13th percentile) last year, Adam Trautman ranks among the worst possession receivers in the NFL among TEs.
With a bad 6.8 adjusted yards per target (25th percentile) last year, Adam Trautman rates among the weakest TEs in the pass game in football.

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