Adam Trautman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Adam Trautman

NFL · Player Props

Adam Trautman

TE · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Broncos are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.
Adam Trautman's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 80.6% to 85.0%.
Adam Trautman has been among the best tight ends in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a terrific 6.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 80th percentile.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has yielded the highest Completion% in football (82.2%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (82.2%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to call the 5th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Adam Trautman's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this season, averaging a measly 8.19 yards-per-target vs a 9.19 rate last season.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has performed very well when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.50 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in the NFL.
The Miami Dolphins safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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