Adam Trautman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Adam Trautman

NFL · Player Props

Adam Trautman

TE · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line ranks as the best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed the most receiving yards per game in football (85.0) to TEs this year.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency vs. TEs this year, surrendering 12.58 yards-per-target to the position: the most in the league.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-least in football.
Adam Trautman has put up far fewer air yards this season (6.0 per game) than he did last season (20.0 per game).
Adam Trautman's 7.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 23.4.
The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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