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Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New Orleans Saints vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The New Orleans Saints offensive line ranks as the best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed the most receiving yards per game in football (85.0) to TEs this year.
  • The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency vs. TEs this year, surrendering 12.58 yards-per-target to the position: the most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-least in football.
  • Adam Trautman has put up far fewer air yards this season (6.0 per game) than he did last season (20.0 per game).
  • Adam Trautman's 7.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 23.4.
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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