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Adam Thielen

Adam Thielen Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Adam Thielen Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1600/-2900).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the most pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.9% red zone pass rate.
  • The leading projections forecast the Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.57 seconds per play.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • As it relates to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Minnesota Vikings profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a meager 1.9% Red Zone Target% (20th percentile) this year, Adam Thielen places as one of the WRs with the highest volume near the end zone in the NFL.
  • After averaging 71.0 air yards per game last year, Adam Thielen has gotten worse this year, currently boasting 15.0 per game.
  • Adam Thielen's 11.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 49.9.
  • Adam Thielen's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 80.0% to 51.8%.
  • Adam Thielen has not caught any TDs this year.

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