My Account Log Out

reorder

Adam Thielen

Adam Thielen Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons

Adam Thielen Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -159 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 65.1 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

The Falcons defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.9 per game) since the start of last season.

Adam Thielen is positioned as one of the best wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.4 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 79th percentile.

Adam Thielen rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, hauling in a terrific 78.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 96th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Vikings are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their normal game plan.

With a 51.0% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 4th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL has been the Vikings.

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Minnesota Vikings since the start of last season (a measly 56.0 per game on average).

The predictive model expects Adam Thielen to be a much smaller piece of his offense's passing offense this week (11.6% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (19.9% in games he has played).

The Atlanta defensive tackles project as the 8th-best DT corps in football since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.

More Adam Thielen Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™