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Adam Thielen
NFL · Player Props
Adam Thielen
WR · Pittsburgh Steelers
Receptions
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans · Week 19, 2025 Updated Jan 13, 2026 12:12 AM UTC
NFL Props Adam Thielen Receptions

Adam Thielen Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -105.

Favors Over
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.7% of their plays: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 133.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
Favors Under
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.
  • Adam Thielen's 15.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 49.9.
  • Adam Thielen's receiving performance has worsened this season, averaging a mere 1.3 adjusted receptions vs 4.9 last season.
  • Adam Thielen's 60.2% Adjusted Catch% this season represents an impressive decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 80.0% mark.
  • The Houston Texans pass defense has surrendered the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (55.9%) vs. wide receivers this year (55.9%).
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