My Account Log Out
 
 
Adam Thielen

Adam Thielen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Cleveland Browns vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Adam Thielen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-118).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings will be rolling out backup QB Carson Wentz in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • At the moment, the 6th-most pass-focused team in football (63.0% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Vikings.
  • The Minnesota offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • With a remarkable 76.3% Adjusted Catch Rate (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Adam Thielen ranks as one of the best possession receivers in football among wideouts.
  • Adam Thielen profiles as one of the most effective receivers in the NFL, averaging an outstanding 9.99 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Vikings to call the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.3 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Vikings this year (only 52.2 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • Adam Thielen's 7.8% Target% this season indicates a significant reduction in his passing game workload over last season's 20.8% mark.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™