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Adam Thielen

Adam Thielen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons

Adam Thielen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 65.1 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

The Falcons defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.9 per game) since the start of last season.

Adam Thielen has totaled a whopping 65.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 77th percentile among WRs.

With a fantastic 59.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (83rd percentile) since the start of last season, Adam Thielen has been as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Vikings are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their normal game plan.

With a 51.0% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 4th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL has been the Vikings.

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Minnesota Vikings since the start of last season (a measly 56.0 per game on average).

The predictive model expects Adam Thielen to be a much smaller piece of his offense's passing offense this week (11.6% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (19.9% in games he has played).

Adam Thielen is positioned as one of the weakest wideouts in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while ranking in the 1st percentile.

More Adam Thielen Player Props

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