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Adam Thielen

Adam Thielen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Adam Thielen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 6th-best in football this year.
  • This year, the porous Baltimore Ravens defense has conceded a staggering 163.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the 4th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run just 64.3 total plays in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
  • Adam Thielen has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (30.8% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (77.9%).
  • Adam Thielen has notched quite a few less air yards this season (14.0 per game) than he did last season (71.0 per game).
  • Adam Thielen has compiled many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (7.0) this season than he did last season (65.0).

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