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Adam Prentice

Adam Prentice Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Adam Prentice Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+990/-3900).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 3rd-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (64.5% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Denver Broncos.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are projected by our trusted projection set to call 67.3 total plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The 6th-most plays in football have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (a colossal 59.9 per game on average).
  • In regards to air yards, Adam Prentice grades out in the towering 78th percentile among RBs this year, totaling an impressive 1.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more notable than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Broncos being a massive 15.5-point favorite this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Chargers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 31.1 per game) this year.
  • Adam Prentice's 2.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) grades out among the worst in the NFL: 13th percentile for running backs.
  • The receiving touchdown line reads "0" on Adam Prentice's stats page this year.
  • This year, the fierce Los Angeles Chargers defense has surrendered a puny 74.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 2nd-lowest rate in football.

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