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Adam Prentice

Adam Prentice Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Adam Prentice Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1100/-3600).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +4200 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +1100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Broncos, who are -4-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Broncos to pass on 60.6% of their downs: the 5th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.0% red zone pass rate.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
  • Adam Prentice ranks in just the 7th percentile for running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with a subpar 0.9 mark this year.
  • Adam Prentice ranks in the 1st percentile among RBs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.
  • This year, the stout Chiefs defense has given up a feeble 0.11 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing RBs: the 10th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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