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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2500/-15000).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +2700 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +2500.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.6% of their plays: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 133.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Aaron Rodgers to attempt 37.5 passes in this contest, on balance: the most among all quarterbacks.
  • Sitting at zero red zone rush attempts this year, Aaron Rodgers's lack of speed makes him a no threat in Pittsburgh's rushing attack near the goal line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.
  • This year, the formidable Houston Texans defense has conceded a measly 64.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the best rate in the league.
  • This year, the daunting Texans defense has allowed a paltry 1.18 passing TDs per game to opposing QBs: the 7th-lowest rate in football.

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