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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+3500/-3900).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -3900 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -3900.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to see 132.9 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • Taking on just 0.0% of his team's red zone carries this year (2nd percentile among QBs), Aaron Rodgers's immobility makes him no threat as a ball-carrier near the end zone.
  • The Pittsburgh offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Aaron Rodgers's passing precision has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 63.8% to 67.2%.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Cleveland's unit has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the best in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Steelers being a 4-point favorite this week.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being projected in this game) generally mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.0 per game) this year.

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