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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers TD Passes
Player Prop Week 6

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-158).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +132 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Aaron Rodgers's 68.3% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a noteworthy boost in his passing accuracy over last year's 63.8% mark.
  • With an exceptional ratio of 1.60 per game (93rd percentile), Aaron Rodgers has been among the leading touchdown passers in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the porous Cleveland Browns defense has been gouged for a staggering 2.00 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing offenses: the 7th-biggest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • At the present time, the 8th-least pass-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (53.8% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Steelers.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have only 127.4 total plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • The 2nd-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Steelers this year (only 48.8 per game on average).
  • This week, Aaron Rodgers is projected by the model to average the 10th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 33.3.

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