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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers TD Passes
Player Prop Week 3

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Aaron Rodgers TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+103/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +121 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 10th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Pittsburgh Steelers since the start of last season (a colossal 58.8 per game on average).

Aaron Rodgers has attempted 35.2 passes per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile among QBs.

With a terrific ratio of 1.74 per game (88th percentile), Aaron Rodgers rates as one of the top TD passers in the league since the start of last season.

The Patriots defense has allowed the 10th-most passing touchdowns in the NFL: 1.58 per game since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 42.9% rate of throwing the ball near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the league in these cases has been the Steelers.

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