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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is implied by the Steelers being a heavy -7-point underdog this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to pass on 65.0% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 134.9 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
  • In this contest, Aaron Rodgers is anticipated by the predictive model to total the most pass attempts among all QBs with 40.8.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 51.3 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 5th-lowest level in football versus the Detroit Lions defense this year (66.0% Adjusted Completion%).

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