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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this game, Aaron Rodgers is anticipated by the projection model to total the 9th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 35.7.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Aaron Rodgers's throwing precision has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 63.8% to 67.1%.
  • Aaron Rodgers has been one of the best TD passers in football this year, averaging an outstanding 1.80 per game while ranking in the 84th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • The fewest plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a lowly 50.2 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.

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