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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+120/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.
  • This year, the anemic Dolphins run defense has given up a massive 134.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 41.6% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 50.8 plays per game.
  • In this game, Aaron Rodgers is forecasted by our trusted projection set to notch the fewest carries out of all quarterbacks with 1.6.
  • Aaron Rodgers is not much of a rusher and has accounted for just 3.7% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 12th percentile among QBs.

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