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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Jets, who are favored by 6 points.

After making up 0.0% of his offense's run game usage last year, Aaron Rodgers has played a bigger part in the running game this year, currently sitting at 6.1%.

The Denver Broncos defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, giving up 5.07 adjusted yards-per-carry.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Denver's unit has been dreadful since the start of last season, profiling as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 4th-least run-centric team in the league (36.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Jets.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the model to run only 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-lowest number on the slate this week.

New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially deflated (and rushing stats propped up a bit) as a result of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to expect some regression with improved conditions in this week's contest.

The projections expect Aaron Rodgers to accumulate 2.1 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance: the 11th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

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