Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 24, 2022 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Green Bay Packers have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to be much more involved in his team's running game this week (7.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (2.1% in games he has played).
The Green Bay Packers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year at blocking for the run game.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 10th-most yards in football (132 per game) against the Washington Commanders defense this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 9th-least run-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.7% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to earn 1.9 rush attempts in this game, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.
Aaron Rodgers has rushed for a lot fewer yards per game (2.0) this year than he did last year (7.0).
The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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