Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a massive 9.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the league since the start of last season in run blocking.
The New England Patriots defense owns the 9th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, yielding 4.69 yards-per-carry.
The Green Bay Packers have used some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in the NFL), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 9th-least run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 36.9% run rate.
The Green Bay Packers have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 58.4 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to accumulate 2.2 rush attempts in this game, on average: the 7th-least of all QBs.
Aaron Rodgers has grinded out just 6.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the smallest figures in football among quarterbacks (21st percentile).
The New England Patriots defensive tackles rank as the 5th-best unit in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.

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