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Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 220.5 (-113/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 218.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 220.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may slide.

Opposing QBs have averaged 42.5 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: most in the league.

Aaron Rodgers's throwing precision has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 63.8% to 68.6%.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 9th-highest level in the league vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year (73.4% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 49.3 plays per game.

Aaron Rodgers has thrown for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (174.0) this season than he did last season (237.0).

The Packers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, giving up 6.41 adjusted yards-per-target: the fewest in the league.

As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Green Bay's collection of safeties has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

More Aaron Rodgers Player Props

Aaron Rodgers Passing YardsPlayer Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 8