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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 219.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 220.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 219.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Steelers to call the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • Aaron Rodgers's 68.7% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a noteworthy gain in his throwing precision over last season's 63.8% rate.
  • Opposing offenses have thrown for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in football (273.0 per game) vs. the Bengals defense this year.
  • The Bengals pass defense has shown weak efficiency this year, giving up 8.45 adjusted yards-per-target: the 5th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The Steelers have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 49.6 plays per game.
  • The Pittsburgh O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • Aaron Rodgers's 165.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season illustrates a noteable decline in his throwing talent over last season's 237.0 figure.

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